THE PHILIPPINES IN 2030 (First of a Series)

By | January 18, 2015

A lot of  older people (and I am too)  always claim they are only too glad to be wrong and not right because of the dire consequences  or tragic results if they are proved right in their assertions.  But in this article and the many to follow it through—I  will be too damned  glad to be right—against   thick and thin disbeliefs,  criticisms,  guffaws, and whatever as  I  choose to  wrestle with incredulity  to write  what will not happen, WILL HAPPEN  or something like it anyway  in the Philippines in the year 2030.   

By  2030 the country would have undergone four national  parliamentary elections held every four years simultaneously with  the twelve  regional parliaments; massive no nonsense nation building have  involved the 100 million citizenry from the Barangays to towns, cities and provinces  under regional governance. Each region is developing strength like a country by itself.   The world  led by the United Nations, WB, the IMF, the EEC, the NATO  are all increasing their support in this novel cosmic experiment in human rehabilitation  and draconian socio-cultural transformation.

 The Filipino diasporas  in every nook and corner of the globe are giving more than all out support to this unexpected and unparalleled  experiment.  This is the resurgence of the interrupted, patented Filipino  People’s Bloodless Revolt in EDSA in 1986 . From 1986 to 2030  is  44 years. It’s  a long wait for this CHANGE to happen. If 2030  will not happen as written here, then condolence  and sympathy from the rest of the world may be the unintended expected.

FAST FORWARD TO THE  YEAR 2030: The  nation’s   political will having hurdled the insurmountable financial  impossibility of  mind boggling  large scale financial outlays for the required  social and physical infrastructure and after the new political leaders courageously accepted to start from almost nothing while avoiding extravagant and ostentatious  governance,  successful governance  has gained a foothold  and continue to dominate the fabric of the Philippine Society. 

The head of State a non politician outstanding citizen  president appointed by the Prime Minister with concurrence of the National  Parliament  is serving the last year of his six-year term.  POLITICAL decentralization and devolution is gaining strength in lagging regions

Government departments and appropriate government corporations and instrumentalities had been broken up and dispersed to the regions; lawmaking and the judiciary had  been devolved to the regions as regional parliaments and regional supreme courts

Kings of corruption in the three branches of government had passed on or been put away in glamorized jails; large regional  penitentiaries had been established;  an island in the Spratlys had been made a prison for  illegal drugs and corruption, and  heinous crimes convicts;  there was no need for capital punishment only life imprisonment for  such crimes;

The horsemen of the four cultural  apocalypse  of  impunity, corruption, lawlessness, and poverty  are all on the ground with their horses ready to be put down.

The Armed Forces: Army, Navy. Air Force, Coast Guard  had  been  assigned to the Regions to develop  strength like a country in itself

Disaster Management and Control  and Relief Operational Capability had been regionalized.

The constitutional offices like  COA, CSC, COMELEC,  retains central supervision and control but field offices  were devolved  to regional governments; 

Three times Prime Minister Benigno Simeon Aquino III  has retired.

The PNOY  model of Executive Administration combining lawmaking and development administration  assisted by  a supportive judiciary  has gained recognition from ASEAN.  The constitutional tripartite equal powers  of the three branches to  govern and loot the treasury  and natural resources  are  waters under the bridge.

There was a marked DECREASED of elected  Parliament  members (both national and regional) coming from the ranks of lawyers and movie actors; there was INCREASED membership from educators, young businessmen, doctors, engineers, accountants, and other professionals ;  Governance had aimed for no  national statesman or political heroes, or handsome or sexy celebrities.

Known political family dynasties are mostly recent history losing elections consistently;  vote buying had been severely punished for ward leaders and candidates;  extreme limitations on campaign contribution and spending had been enforced;  Massive decentralization  in the COMELEC led to the dismissal  of corrupt personnel;

There was a rebirth in the  moral fabric of the members of the two ancient political parties: The Liberal and the Nationalista Parties. All the opportunist political parties and the party lists politicians are just becoming  memories.   

The regional governments run by regional premiers are making waves in most aspects of human and political development  as  volunteerism and civic mindedness  had demonstrated unexpected resurgence  which  to a large extent had dampened the activities of NGOs  established   by charlatans  to provide themselves  with employment and cash cows.

The national budget in Trillions of Pesos has been broken down into billions and sent to the regional treasuries. 

Regional Government budgets are resource seeking assisted by  strengthened  decentralized  Regional  Bureau of Internal Revenue and Bureau of Customs.

Regions had been encouraged  and empowered to strike on their own  strength and resources like little countries competing with the other regions in uplifting the human condition.

Out of humility perhaps, NOSTRADAMUS  did not exclaim:  “Who says history is only a written record of the past?”  So he wrote some historic elements of the future  and got it right in some parts.

REWIND TO  2015,  the PRESENT

By 2030  some politicians in the news today may already be retired or just out of the scene. J.P. Enrile will be 106; J. erap Estrada 93;  J.C. Binay, 88; Mirriam Santiago, like Rodrigo Duterte will both be 85;   G.M. Arroyo, 83; Panfilo Lacson, will be 82.

After fifteen years the young leaders in 2015 may likely have already  assumed the mantle of mature parliamentary leadership in the national scene or the many regional governments.  If still alive and  active like vintage wine in 2030 they are:  Antonio Trillanes IV, 59; Alan Peter Cayetano, 60; Grace Poe, 62; Koko Pimentel III, 66; Leni Robredo, 69; Kim Henares, 70;  Noynoy Aquino III, also 70; L D Lima and T. Guingona both 71; lastly the old man of group  Mar Roxas at 73.  Noynoy  Aquino and Mar Roxas could be the stirling figures straddling two decades as Prime Ministers  and later appointed as Presidents, the ceremonial Heads of State.

State governance by twelve regions in 2030 speaks of  an exciting public administration  by mostly young politicians, home grown, move by goals and objectives driven politics. The Prime Minister’s Cabinet and the Regional Premiers’  Cabinet will have  adopted a sci-tech based approach to  kinky problems  caused by force majeure and disease epidemics.

The departments instead of following traditional  multi-disciplinary, division of labor, specialization oriented solutions like : you announced the typhoons, I  take care of  rescue operations,  you take care of relief and relocation, he takes care of the flooding,  you provide medical services, blah, blah, blah.  This is strengthened by a proactive  INTERDISCIPLINARY cabinet  strategies  synthesized by  technical specialists in the PM  and Premiers’ offices.   

It should be interesting to paint este write on the forest and the landscape of  the  parliamentary system  that’s  anathema  to  the Filipino articulate  critical mass  but could well be beneficial  to  the larger  clueless masses.  Next time, May be.  ****